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Comparative Efficiency of Informal (Subjective, Impressionistic) and Formal (Mechanical, Algorithmic) Prediction Procedures: The Clinical–Statistical Controversy

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10.10.2023

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What can be determined from such a heterogeneous aggregation of studies, concern- ing a wide array of predictands and involving such a variety of judges, mechanical combination methods, and data? Quite a lot, as it turns out. To summarize these data quantitatively for the present purpose (see Grove et al., 2000, for details omitted here), we took the median difference between all possible pairs of clinical versus mechanical predictions for a given study as the representative outcome of that study. We converted all predictive accuracy statistics to a common metric to facilitate comparison across studies (e.g., convert from hit rates to...
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Comparative Efficiency of Informal (Subjective, Impressionistic) and Formal (Mechanical, Algorithmic) Prediction Procedures: The Clinical–Statistical Controversy

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