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Consumer Interest Rates and Retail Mutual Fund Flows

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In the absence of further guidance on the relative importance of the two argu- ments, our prior about the relative smartness of institutional versus individual money f lows remains neutral.With regard to the direction ofmoney f lows, there are at least two reasons to believe that investors’ fund sells have a weaker as- sociation with future performance than their fund buys. First, the disposition effect discussed in Odean (1998) suggests that sell decisions are generally not optimallymade. Second, fund redemptions aremore likely than fund purchases to be due to factors unrelated to future performance, such as liquidity needs or taxes....
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Consumer Interest Rates and Retail Mutual Fund Flows

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