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Investigating Underperformance by Mutual Fund Portfolios

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We consider two types of dogmatists. The first is a ‘‘no-predictability dogmatist (ND),’’ who rules out predictability, additionally setting the parameters bi1 and Af in Eqs. (1) and (2) equal to zero. The second is a ‘‘predictability dogmatist (PD),’’ who believes that mutual fund returns are predictable based on observable business cycle variables. We further partition our PD investor into two types: PD-1, who believes that fund risk loadings are predictable (i.e., bi1 is potentially nonzero), and PD-2, who believes that both risk loadings and benchmark returns are predictable (i.e., bi1 and Af are both allowed to be nonzero). Note that our PD investors believe that asset...
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Investigating Underperformance by Mutual Fund Portfolios

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