PHD thesis on Climate change: A study on climate change projection and climate analog in Southeast Asia

The thesis would provide scientific knowledge on projectedtemperature and rainfall changes, the appearance of novel climate as well as the disappearance of present climate in the future in the sea and Viet Nam region; these results would contribute practical inputs to climate changeimpact assessment and adaptation studies for scientists and to adaptation planning for policy makers.
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PHD thesis on Climate change: A study on climate change projection and climate analog in Southeast Asia MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT VIET NAM INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE NGUYEN THI TUYET A STUDY ON CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION AND CLIMATE ANALOG IN SOUTHEAST ASIAPHD THESIS ON CLIMATE CHANGE Ha Noi - 2020 MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT VIET NAM INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY, HYDROLOGY AND CLIMATE CHANGE NGUYEN THI TUYET A STUDY ON CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION AND CLIMATE ANALOG IN SOUTHEAST ASIAMajor: Climate ChangeCode : 9440221 PHD THESIS ON CLIMATE CHANGE Thesis Author Primary Supervisor Second Supervisor !Nguyen Thi Tuyet Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ngo Duc Thanh Prof. Dr. Phan Van Tan Ha Noi - 2020! i! COMMITMENT! I commit that the thesis is my own research. The results shown in thethesis are honest, objective and have not been defended at any degree level. I commit that all help with completing the thesis is acknowledged, andreferences in the thesis are fully sourced. Ha Noi, …………… 2020 AUTHOR Nguyen Thi Tuyet! ii! ACKNOWLEDGEMENT! I would like to send my sincere gratitude to my two supervisors: Assoc.Prof. Dr. Ngo Duc Thanh and Prof. Dr. Phan Van Tan. Without their greatguidance and teaching, I could not complete my thesis. I would also want to send my gratitude to the training institution – VietNam Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change (IMHEN) andmy workplace – Viet Nam Institute for Development Strategies (VIDS) whohave been always to best facilitate my PhD study. I would be much grateful for the Department of Space andApplications, USTH, which provides the HILO cluster where I couldimplement the calculations, analysis and visualization of my PhD thesis’results, and for the Research group for Remote sEnsing and MOdeling ofSurface and ATmosphere (REMOSAT) lab under the leadership of Assoc.Prof. Ngo Duc Thanh, USTH for facilitating my PhD study. I would express gratitude to the Southeast Asia Regional ClimateDownscaling/ Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment –Southeast Asia (SEACLID/CORDEX-SEA) project, of which observed andmodel data were used in my thesis. Last but not least, I would like to send my deep thanks to my familyand friends who have kept encouraging me as well as facilitating my study. Ha Noi, …………… 2020 AUTHOR Nguyen Thi Tuyet! iii! CONTENT!COMMITMENT ............................................................................................... i!ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ................................................................................ ii!CONTENT....................................................................................................... iii!LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .......................................................................... v!LIST OF TABLES............................................................................................ x!LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................ xii!LIST OF ANNEX ........................................................................................... xx!INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................ 1!CHAPTER 1 – LITERATURE REVIEW ON REGIONAL CLIMATEDOWNSCALING AND CLIMATE ANALOG .............................................. 6! 1.1. Related concepts ..................................................................................... 6! 1.2. Literature review .................................................................................. 24! 1.3. Chapter 1 summary .............................................................................. 42!CHAPTER 2 – OBSERVED DATA, NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS ANDMETHODOLOGY ......................................................................................... 48! 2.1. Data ...................................................................................................... 48! 2.1.1. Observation data ........ ...